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Statistical Methods in Virtualization

https://doi.org/10.1134/S2304487X19060063

Abstract

   Essential component of virtual tool is statistical one used for statistical models identification on qualification tests results, criteria models parameterization for forecasting at qualification tests, regression models synthesis, their optimization and adequateness analysis at factor planning. Regression model linearity allows controlling factors significance using standard statistical methods and performing model optimization using linear programming. At oils characteristics identification their non-normality was shown. To form rational processing algorithms some alternative approximations were formed. Bimodal density distribution was approximated with sum of different normal ones. One – modal distributions of other characteristics were approximated with Weibull distributions. Parameterization of these distributions was performed using moment’s method. For reproducibility estimation analytical Cochran distribution on the base of Fisher distribution and analytical Grabbs distribution on the base of Student distribution were developed. It was shown that preliminary normalization allows avoiding error decision about result reproducibility. Criteria model parameterization was proposed to perform on effect forecast at extremal conditions that allows to guaranty qualification normative. Preliminary choice of these conditions is realized by using step-by-step approach in the course of factor analysis. Developed method for similarity criteria synthesis is based on criterion logarithm presentation as linear form of some similarity numbers interpreted as independent factors. Coefficients of this form were estimated using factor analysis. Also the intuitive method of factors ranking in linear form using saturated plans and least significant factors rejection was developed. Its base advantage is fictive factors exclusion and base disadvantage – regular method absence for significance thresholds set.

About the Author

A. А. Moiseev
NPP Technos-RM (Technos-RM Research and Production Enterprise)
Russian Federation

141002

Mytischi



References

1. Moiseev A. Virtualizasionnyj instrumentarij i ego primenenie [Virtualization’s tool and its application] // Industrial Automatic Control Systems and Controllers, № 11, 2016, p. 16.

2. Moiseev A. Modifitsirovannye kriterii statisticheskoy neodnorodnosti [Modified criteria of statistical inhomogeneity ] // Industrial Automatic Control Systems and Controllers, № 11, 2015, p. 20.

3. Shatalov K., Moiseev A. Proverka normalnosti raspredeleniya pogreshnostej izmereniya pri otsenke katshestva nefteproduktov [Normality control of measurements distribution at oils quality estimation] / Proceedings of State himmotology institute, issue 57, M., “Pero”, 2016, p. 360.

4. Moiseev A. Approksimatsia raspredeleniya pogreshnosti izmerenij kharakteristik nefteproduktov [Error distributions approximations for measurements of oils characteristics] // Industrial Automatic Control Systems and Controllers, № 9, 2015, p. 30.

5. Moiseev A. Modifitsirovannyj algoritm kontrolya vosproizvodimosti mezhlaboratornykh ispytanij [Modified control algorithm of inter – laboratory tests reproducibility] // Industrial Automatic Control Systems and Controllers, № 9, 2016, p. 16.

6. Moiseev A. Kriterianoe modelirovaiie v formirovanii kvalifikatsionnykh normativov [Criteria modeling at qualification normative forming] / Proceedings of XI international scientific conference “Tribology to machine-building”, M., 2016, p. 161.

7. Moiseev A. Faktornoe planirovanie v analize kriteriev podobiya [Factor’s planning at similarity criteria analysis] // Vestnik Natsional’nogo issledovatel’skogo yadernogo universiteta “MIFI”, 2016, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 303.

8. Moiseev A. Kritrialnaya model kvalifikatsionnykh ispytanij na iznos [Criteria model of wear qualification tests] // Engineering physics, 2015, no. 12, p. 30.

9. Moiseev A. Statistitsheskij analiz kopetentnosti pri mezhlaboratornykh ispytanoyakh [Statistical competence analysis at inter – laboratoty tests] // Modeling, optimization and information technologies, 2017, № 1 (16), (http://moit.vivt.ru/).

10. Moiseev A. Intuitivnyj metod ranzhirovaniya faktorov po znatshimosti [Intuitive method of factors ranking on significance] // Modeling, optimization and information technologies, 2017, № 1 (16), (http://moit.vivt.ru/).


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For citations:


Moiseev A.А. Statistical Methods in Virtualization. Vestnik natsional'nogo issledovatel'skogo yadernogo universiteta "MIFI". 2020;9(1):66-81. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.1134/S2304487X19060063

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ISSN 2304-487X (Print)